Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.264039 0.306493 0.355197 0.415563 0.488866 0.575618 0.686986
2025-08-17 0.198285 0.251869 0.320618 0.416831 0.550506 0.733509 1.009916
2025-08-24 0.160014 0.216313 0.294461 0.413973 0.597911 0.880591 1.369753
2025-08-31 0.134024 0.189861 0.272165 0.407096 0.632671 1.014573 1.758942
2025-09-07 0.119308 0.176025 0.264151 0.417942 0.695427 1.210539 2.340181
2025-09-14 0.104400 0.158997 0.247430 0.409713 0.721490 1.347161 2.869004
2025-09-21 0.094583 0.148362 0.238933 0.413302 0.769402 1.541830 3.633154
2025-09-28 0.085871 0.138183 0.229334 0.412435 0.807586 1.728713 4.492527
2025-10-05 0.080431 0.132794 0.227231 0.425397 0.878470 2.019343 5.856616
2025-10-12 0.075299 0.127217 0.223813 0.434781 0.943834 2.323868 7.523364
2025-10-19 0.070653 0.121911 0.220054 0.442560 1.007646 2.653587 9.608111
2025-10-26 0.067089 0.118181 0.218819 0.455670 1.089339 3.078345 12.594168
2025-11-02 0.062901 0.112871 0.213836 0.459674 1.149813 3.474909 16.047874
2025-11-09 0.058883 0.107471 0.207984 0.460625 1.203020 3.882053 20.278792
2025-11-16 0.054979 0.101878 0.200967 0.457305 1.242864 4.266527 25.153441
2025-11-23 0.051181 0.096112 0.192828 0.449527 1.266563 4.603735 30.486308
2025-11-30 0.049114 0.093764 0.192130 0.461762 1.362416 5.336956 41.428951
2025-12-07 0.045889 0.088613 0.184269 0.452476 1.379691 5.708204 50.024600
2025-12-14 0.043750 0.085628 0.181202 0.456525 1.448729 6.413554 65.749447
2025-12-21 0.041517 0.082226 0.176714 0.455547 1.498788 7.063880 84.312859
2025-12-28 0.040267 0.080918 0.177254 0.470179 1.619159 8.275529 121.599176
2026-01-04 0.038894 0.079197 0.176535 0.480781 1.728010 9.548440 173.602962
2026-01-11 0.037528 0.077365 0.175310 0.489572 1.833796 10.947338 249.243685